Quick, what team is missing!?Also, we are starting a little friendly competition this week to run for the rest of the season. Tim will pick every game along with Dan and Kyle as well as a "randomizer." So there will be a random pick, determined by coin flip, as well as the pick by the three contributors. Winner gets 494 pride points to be used at their discretion. Losing to the coin flip results in -103 pride points. If the coin flip wins, we let the coin write an article. Don't test us, we'll do it.
Tim's Picks of Week 8
Buffalo at Miami
1:00, CBS
Commentators: Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Line: Buffalo -1
The Bills take their 5-1 record on the road to (believe it or not) play their first AFC East game against the 2-4 Dolphins. Surprisingly the Bills are only laying 1 in what looks like an easy spot. Miami is coming off a home loss to Baltimore while Buffalo took care of San Diego last week in Orchard Park. So why the low line? This game could have opened with Buffalo laying a field goal and they still would have received the lion’s share of the wagering. 80% of the action is on Buffalo but the line is holding still at 1. It’ll probably get bet up closer to game time as the public will keep hammering Buffalo. Chad Pennington is quietly putting together a nice season in South Florida, ranking 4th in the NFL in completion percentage. You’d probably be surprised to know that Miami also averages more passing and more rushing yards per game than Buffalo. This has trap game written all over it and Vegas is hoping people will take the bait with Buffalo. I’ll take Miami +1.
St. Louis at New England
1:00 FOX
Commentators: Chris Rose, J.C. Pearson
Line: New England -7.5
Sorry to go against the hometown team here, but what’s with all the love for the Pats? Sure, they looked great on Monday night running all over a suspect Denver defense but is this team really back to where they want to be? If I told you before the season started that in week 8, the Patriots would be starting Matt Cassel and BenJarvus Green-Ellis and that they’d be laying more than a touchdown to anyone you would have thought I was crazy. But that’s where they find themselves as the Rams head to Foxboro. Hey, the Rams had a big unexpected home win last week. How come they get no love? They’re also 2-0 since Scott Linehan took over. I’ll take St. Louis +7.5 here. They might even win outright.
Washington at Detroit
1:00 FOX
Commentators: Thom Brennaman, Brian Billick
Line: Washington –8
The Lions are bad. The Lions are very bad. The Lions flat out stink. With that said, is Washington really good enough to be laying 8 on the road? The Redskins love to play to the level of their competition. They got up for a huge road win at Dallas as 10.5 point dogs, then came home to cough one up to the Rams. The almost choked away last week’s game vs Cleveland, who shanked a last second field goal that would have sent the game into overtime. Washington has home matchups with Pittsburgh and Dallas in the coming weeks so they may very well be looking past Detroit. Meanwhile the Lions have covered their last two. Yes, I know they are horrible, but when you bet the NFL, you need bad teams to do good things. Lions +8 is the play.
A few other tidbits from around the league
Is Baltimore really good enough to be laying a touchdown to anyone? I’m not in the right state of mind to bet Oakland on the road but I don’t think Baltimore deserves the respect the linesmakers are giving them here… Surprisingly, TB/Dallas is the least bet game of the week so far. Usually America’s team commands a large amount of action, but with the injury to Tony Romo, I’m sure most bettors are skeptical about what Cowboys team will be showing up…. Nobody should be wagering on the SD/NO game. Too many variables with Bush out and both teams are dealing with the flight overseas and the time change…It’s been 5 years since Peyton Manning has been an underdog of 4 or more points to someone other than New England. That came December 7, 2003 as the Colts were 4 point dogs to, you guessed it, the Tennessee Titans. Indianapolis won that game 29-27.
Week 8 Staff Picks
So we flip a quarter - heads for the home team. We'll be keeping stats, and if Kyle feels like making pretty graphs, we might have those too. Remember, we do not advocate gambling unless of course you need to make money really quick and there's a game that's a... great bet (there is a four letter world to use here, but as Tim says: "NEVER USE THE 'L' WORD!).
Oakland +7 @ Baltimore
Tim: Bal –7. Because somebody has to win.
Dan: Oak +7. Played the Jets very well last week.
Kyle: Bal -7. One week does not a team make. The Raiders are still a crappy team.
Coin: Bal -7
San Diego -3 @ New Orleans (In London)
Tim: SD –3. Loss of Bush hurts.
Dan: SD -3. They just need the win.
Kyle: SD -3. No home field advantage playing in London. "Bloody good game. Smashing. Yes."
Coin: NO +3.
Kansas City +13.5 @ New York Jets
Tim: KC +13.5. The Jets are favored by 2 TD’s? No thanks.
Dan: NYJ -13.5. The Chiefs are on their 3rd QB. Favre wins big.
Kyle: NYJ -13.5. Two words: Tyler Thigpen. That and no LJ because he spit in some chick's face
Coin: NYJ -13.5.
Buffalo -1 @ Miami
Tim: Mia +1. (see above)
Dan: Buf -1. Not a trap game, don't be fooled.
Kyle: Mia +1. Phins are tough in division games.
Coin: Buf -1.
Tampa Bay +2.5 @ Dallas
Tim: Dal – 2.5. TO has been conspicuously absent lately. That’ll change today.
Dan: TB + 2.5. 'Boys are playing awfully bad. Bucs pick up the win outright.
Kyle: Dal -2.5. Johnson is all right, and Marion Barber can still run the football.
Coin: Dal -2.5
Atlanta +9 @ Philadelphia
Tim: Atl +9. Matt Ryan still getting no respect.
Dan: Phi -9. Ryan's not ready for the Philly crowd.
Kyle: Phi -9. Ryan is ready, but the rest of his team might not be. Westbrook & Kevin Curtis back, too.
Coin: Phi -9.
St. Louis +7.5 @ New England
Tim: StL +7.5. (see above)
Dan: StL +7.5. Playing well with Haslett. Pats win, but not big.
Kyle: NE -7.5. Do you think BenJarvus Green-Ellis is the first tetra-namer in Pats history? I mean, 4 names! Damn!
Coin: NE -7.5
Arizona +4 @ Carolina
Tim: Car –4. Delhomme seems to be finding his stride.
Dan: Car -4. West coast team to the east coast? Bad odds this season.
Kyle: Ari +4. Welcome back Anquan Boldin - too many weapons for Cards.
Coin: Car -4.
Washington -8 @ Detroit
Tim: Det +8. (see above)
Dan: Was -8. Lions won't be able to see the 'Skins. That's how lopsided it'll be.
Kyle: Was -8. The Lions still suck, and they still play Orlovski.
Coin: Det +8.
Cleveland +7 @ Jacksonville
Tim: Jac –7. All kinds of problems on and off the field for Cleveland.
Dan: Jac -7. Jags are just too good. Will we see Brady Quinn?
Kyle: Jac -7. Oh Ohio NFL teams... at least your state will be important for the presidential election.
Coin: Jac -7
New York Giants +3 @ Pittsburgh
Tim: Pit –3. Looks like a toss up, I’ll take the home team.
Dan: Pit -3. Big Ben handles the champs at home.
Kyle: Pit -3. Slick Willie Parker coming back helps the Steelers.
Coin: NYG +3.
Seattle +5 @ San Francisco
Tim: SF –5. If a game is played, and no one is there to witness it or watch it on TV, does it actually happen?
Dan: SF -5. Holmgren's old project against his soon-to-be-new one.
Kyle: SF -5. I love Seattle and want to cry for their fans. I can't see them winning outright.
Coin: SF -5.
Cincinnati +9 @ Houston
Tim: Cin +9. Bengals have played the toughest schedule in the league so far.
Dan: Hou -9. Points aren't enough with the Bungles.
Kyle: Hou -9. Tough schedule, true, but I can't bet on a Harvard kid as an MIT alum.
Coin: Cin +9.
Indianapolis +4 @ Tennessee
Tim: Ind +4. Peyton as a dog too good to pass up.
Dan: Ten -4. Defense will swarm Peyton
Kyle: Ind +4. I predict a 23-21 Titans victory.
Coin: Ten -4.
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment